April NPD data - massive sales, GTA IV result
Sony names Harrison's replacement as studio boss
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May 12th, 2008 @ 12:04
Wedbush Morgan’s Michael Pachter has just told videogaming247 that he expects Xbox 360 to have outsold PS3 in America last month, ahead of NPD data to be released this week.
The analyst said that his research note on the figures is to be released in approximately 45 minutes. Stay tuned, stat fans.
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May 12th, 2008 at 12:10 pm
He’s obviously still smarting from his ‘PS3 wins again!’ guesstimate last month.
May 12th, 2008 at 12:18 pm
Wish I could get paid as much as he does for talking utter cock month in, month out.
May 12th, 2008 at 12:19 pm
Flipflop. He said in his last prediction that the PS3 was going to sell 500k in GTA month and the 360 would do 350k.
Stick to the part of your job you’re good at Pachter.
May 12th, 2008 at 12:41 pm
His original April prediction is a couple of mins into this vid:
http://www.gametrailers.com/bonusround.php?ep=20&pt=2
May 12th, 2008 at 1:05 pm
So where is it, then?
/taps watch
May 12th, 2008 at 1:07 pm
*stares at inbox*
May 12th, 2008 at 1:08 pm
And why aren’t you covering the Sega/Platinum Games thing?
May 12th, 2008 at 1:10 pm
I skipped it. There was nothing new on it. Does it mention Platinum stuff? Link?
May 12th, 2008 at 1:13 pm
They’ve announced two new games are are about to announce a third. This little-know web site doesn’t have anything at all about it no siree not a thing.
May 12th, 2008 at 1:14 pm
Ah, yes. Tom just dropped me a link. Ta.
May 12th, 2008 at 1:20 pm
Done.
May 12th, 2008 at 2:11 pm
No update?
May 12th, 2008 at 2:12 pm
Still nothing, no.
May 12th, 2008 at 2:13 pm
It would appear his timekeeping is as reliable as his predictions are.
* zing *
May 12th, 2008 at 2:28 pm
Has he changed his mind again?
http://www.next-gen.biz/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=10426&Itemid=2
May 12th, 2008 at 2:41 pm
*speechless*
May 12th, 2008 at 2:49 pm
So much for the 350k 360s and 500k PS3s. Putting my money where my mouth is, these were my predictions for the month:
[WII] 604k
[NDS] 540k
[PS3] 344k
[360] 324k
[PSP] 232k
[PS2] 196k
May 12th, 2008 at 2:50 pm
Just done another story. No idea what happened there.
May 12th, 2008 at 2:50 pm
Nice disclaimer.
Pachter noted that Wedbush Morgan’s forecasts are based upon “a combination of channel checks, company press releases and intuition, with the greatest dependence upon intuition.”
May 12th, 2008 at 2:58 pm
That comes at the bottom of all the analyst notes, pretty much.
May 12th, 2008 at 3:02 pm
It does kind of say… “You’ve just wasted 5 minutes reading and contemplating all of the above because I’m just guessing. People tend to believe you more if you throw numbers at them.”
May 12th, 2008 at 3:03 pm
I’ll be very much surprised if the PS3 outdid the 360 in April. Or May.
May 12th, 2008 at 3:06 pm
Yeah, me too.
May 12th, 2008 at 3:12 pm
I think it did… but I don’t think there’s a lot in it. Time will tell how much the £25 difference between a 360 and PS3 makes in the US when dealing with GTA IV.
May 12th, 2008 at 3:28 pm
Are the GTA stats actually included in April’s data, or did it come out after the cut-off date?
May 12th, 2008 at 3:30 pm
There’s about a week of GTA to be included.
May 12th, 2008 at 3:33 pm
Is the difference between a PS3 and a 360 in the US really only £25?
/shakes head
May 12th, 2008 at 3:39 pm
Yeah, that’s the 40gb PS3 vs the 20gb 360. $399 vs $349.
May 12th, 2008 at 3:40 pm
Europe am cry.
May 12th, 2008 at 3:41 pm
Hmm, looks like he pulled a flip flop again. Whoa, what happened to his 500k PS3 prediction early on? The margin is much closer as well. Anyhow this seems eerily similar to last month. Where he called it for the PS3 which turned out to be the incorrect, but decided he wanted to change his prediction mid-week hehe. I’m not sure what is going on with his predictions lately because they really are all over the place. CYA maybe the game of the day especially with his PS3 predictions since launch. I think even he is started to doubt it as well, which is saying a lot.
May 12th, 2008 at 4:33 pm
“Europe am cry”
Indeed. Sadly the probable truth is that Sony would be treating us much, much more kindly if we (Europe as a whole, that is) were all buying Xbox 360s instead of PS3s.
Re-reading this article - http://www.videogaming247.com/2008/04/14/that-was-the-news-%e2%80%93-week-15-2008-announce-the-80gb-ps3-sku-and-dualshock-3-for-europe-scee-or-risk-damage-later-this-year/ - barely a month after it was written has me once again nodding in agreement, but this time knowing that the worst fears and predicitons of a shafting on the MGS4 bundle all came true.