Rumour - PS3 price cuts planned for March 2009
Only 4% of games ever turn a profit, says EEDAR
Yamauchi - Gran Turismo still in the works for PSP
October 7th, 2008 @ 19:05
EEDAR’s released its software and hardware estimates for September, showing what it expects to be a significant bump for 360. PS3’s in last place, according to the firm, although the list doesn’t include PS2.
And the crystal ball says:
Hardware
Software
Thanks, GoNintendo.
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October 7th, 2008 at 7:14 pm
I can’t see the PS3 just doing 215k. Not in a 5 week period.
I haven’t done my predictions yet so I can’t post them for comparison. Maybe tomorrow.
October 7th, 2008 at 7:29 pm
I have no idea this month. It’s got to be a big jump for 360, and I can’t see what would have made the difference to PS3, so I’m sure a 360 lead’s along the right lines.
October 7th, 2008 at 7:40 pm
Psycho: what are you’re predictions actually based on? Out of interest.
October 7th, 2008 at 8:32 pm
Trends mostly. Anecdotal evidence on supply / sales as well. Especially supply for the Wii. Plus obviously price cuts / promotions.
Like for instance this month I’ll look at how 09/07 compared to 08/07 and how 08/07 compared to 08/08… as well as how the machines are trending this year as a general rule.
October 7th, 2008 at 11:20 pm
All done. Here’s mine:
[360] 339K
[NDS] 615K
[PS2] 175K
[PS3] 243K
[PSP] 285K
[WII] 530K
October 7th, 2008 at 11:23 pm
The numbers are very specific though: like 329k. I mean, why not 328 or 340? What’s the maths behind the madness?
October 7th, 2008 at 11:29 pm
Weekly numbers, multiplied, etc. Mathematical formulas etc.
I usually start off with a wide range of numbers and then massage them until they feel just right. They look odd because I base them off percentage changes in sales.
October 7th, 2008 at 11:41 pm
I am not part of maths. So piss off!
I do think your Wii prdictions are a bit high. Dunno why. (hope maybe?)
So I mean, how well is that actually for the 360? This should be the sales spike and it’s 140,000 up on last month. Not even double.
I dunno, I also think your PS3 predictions are generous to say the least.
EDIT: Just noticed, basically, I am a pessimist this month all round.
October 7th, 2008 at 11:45 pm
Psycho: Is this a hobby?
/starts to slowly back away
October 7th, 2008 at 11:46 pm
Hobby? No. I do it for a monthly competition.
Pud: My Wii predictions are actually a little on the low side compared to what I’ve seen elsewhere but I reckon they’re going to start keeping stock back for xmas now. I think the PS3 will get a slight increase over last month because there was a bit of a stock issue with the old models running out before the new ones hit store shelves in any great number.
October 7th, 2008 at 11:49 pm
What do you win?
October 7th, 2008 at 11:51 pm
Nothing special, couple of games… but I find it interesting as I’m a stats head anyway.
Maybe if I’m lucky I’ll become Pachter’s boss.
October 7th, 2008 at 11:52 pm
hehe. I knew it! You’re certified!
October 7th, 2008 at 11:53 pm
Not sure I follow.
October 7th, 2008 at 11:54 pm
I still think the Wii is levelling off a bit. I don’t think numbers will be insane this Christmas.
October 7th, 2008 at 11:55 pm
Ahh Pud… you do keep trying to convince yourself it’s a fad don’t you?
October 8th, 2008 at 12:04 am
YES
Wii will ruin gaming.
EDIT: I do not midn casual games at all, but I do take issue with them eradicating the support the hardcore titles used to receive from developers.